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Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors LSUFavors ALA →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+5.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.8%
away elo+3.3%
elo diff+3.3%
Home Offense (runs/game)+3.1%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+3.0%
Away Offense (runs/game)+1.8%
Away 14-Day Win Rate−0.3%
Game Conditions
Weather data unavailable (no venue coordinates)
Sewell-Thomas Stadium
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1001.586
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.9390.927
14-Day Win Rate0.3330.667
Rest Days22
Snapshot taken: 2/19/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
LSU5.6 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
ALA4.5 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 4p75: 6p90: 7
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.61 / 4.49
LSU Tigers — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
8-2|6.9 R/G|5.3 RA/G
Alabama Crimson Tide — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
2-8|3.9 R/G|5.4 RA/G