Scheduled
Friday, April 24
6:30 PM
ALA·Away
45%
Win Prob
Home·TENN
55%
Model CI: 47–63% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 4 bookmakers · Updated 4:00 PM
Moneyline
ALA+806
TENN-4396
Run Line
TENN-4
(-142)
O/U
8
Model: 12.7
Model vs Market
TENN
Model55%
Market90%
Edge-34.9 pts
ALA
Model45%
Market10%
Edge+34.9 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors ALAFavors TENN →
away bb pct+7.3%
away woba+4.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.6%
home bb pct14g+3.5%
away ba14g−3.2%
home woba+1.1%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+0.8%
home bb pct−0.7%
Game Conditions
🌡
76°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind SW
💧
45%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Lindsey Nelson Stadium
Knoxville, Tennessee
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.6551.407
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.8031.029
14-Day Win Rate0.6670.333
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/24/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
ALA5.3 runs
p10: 2p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 8
TENN7.4 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.25 / 7.32
Alabama Crimson Tide — Recent Form
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
4-6|6.0 R/G|6.6 RA/G
Tennessee Volunteers — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
7-3|8.2 R/G|5.2 RA/G