Scheduled
Thursday, April 23
8:00 PM
ARK·Away
68%
Win Prob
Home·MIZZ
32%
Model CI: 24–40% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors ARKFavors MIZZ →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−8.2%
elo diff+4.7%
home k pct+4.6%
home bb pct14g+3.2%
away k pct+3.2%
away ba14g−2.4%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA−1.8%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+1.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
77°F
Temperature
🧭
15 mph
Wind S
💧
55%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Taylor Stadium
Columbia, Missouri
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2561.485
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3380.900
14-Day Win Rate00.750
Rest Days22
Snapshot taken: 4/23/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
ARK6.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
MIZZ5.1 runs
p10: 2p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 8
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.62 / 5.09
Arkansas Razorbacks — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
7-3|8.2 R/G|6.1 RA/G
Missouri Tigers — Recent Form
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
2-8|3.2 R/G|5.7 RA/G