Oklahoma SoonersOklahoma SoonersAwaySP · 1.14 ERA
Scheduled

Sunday, April 26

3:00 PM

Auburn TigersAuburn TigersHomeSP: Alex Petrovic · 3.41 ERA
OU·Away
40%
Win Prob
Home·AUB
60%

Model CI: 5268% home

Model v2.1.0

Betting Line

Consensus of 5 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM

Moneyline

OU+106
AUB-144

Run Line

AUB0

(-37)

O/U

11.5

Model: 13.8

Model vs Market

AUB

Model60%
Market55%
Edge+5.5 pts

OU

Model40%
Market45%
Edge-5.5 pts

Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market

Top Prediction Drivers

← Favors OUFavors AUB
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.5%
home bb pct14g+4.1%
away bb pct+3.0%
away ba14g3.0%
away woba+2.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)2.5%
home woba+1.4%
home k pct0.9%

Game Conditions

🌡
78°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind N
💧
54%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance

Plainsman Park

Auburn, Alabama

Park factor: 1.00(estimated)

Pre-Game Feature Snapshot

FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4261.437
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0641.140
14-Day Win Rate0.7500.714
Rest Days11

Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026

Score Projection

Monte Carlo simulation

OU6.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
AUB7.3 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.37 / 7.25

Oklahoma Sooners — Recent Form

L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
7-3|6.1 R/G|5.6 RA/G

Auburn Tigers — Recent Form

W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
7-3|7.7 R/G|3.2 RA/G