TA&M·Away
49%
Win Prob
Home·FLA
51%
Model CI: 43–59% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
TA&M-11600
FLA+1567
Run Line
FLA+3.5
(+58)
O/U
6.5
Model: 12.2
Model vs Market
FLA
Model51%
Market6%
Edge+45.1 pts
TA&M
Model49%
Market94%
Edge-45.1 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors TA&MFavors FLA →
home bb pct14g+4.8%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.5%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.3%
away ba14g−3.1%
home woba+1.6%
home k pct−1.0%
home elo−0.8%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+0.5%
Game Conditions
🌡
78°F
Temperature
🧭
5 mph
Wind W
💧
66%
Humidity
🌧
1%
Precip Chance
Condron Family Ballpark
Gainesville, Florida
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4421.562
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0280.995
14-Day Win Rate0.3750.833
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
TA&M6.1 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
FLA6.1 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.11 / 6.07
Texas A&M Aggies — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
8-2|8.2 R/G|4.4 RA/G
Florida Gators — Recent Form
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
4-6|6.1 R/G|6.0 RA/G