Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
2:30 PM
UGA·Away
41%
Win Prob
Home·MISS
59%
Model CI: 51–67% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 1:03 PM
Moneyline
UGA-127
MISS-59
Run Line
MISS+1.5
(-153)
O/U
14
Model: 12.8
Model vs Market
MISS
Model59%
Market48%
Edge+11.7 pts
UGA
Model41%
Market52%
Edge-11.7 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UGAFavors MISS →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+8.9%
home bb pct14g+5.1%
away bb pct+4.3%
away woba+3.4%
away ba14g−2.7%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.6%
home woba+1.4%
home k pct−1.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
77°F
Temperature
🧭
4 mph
Wind SE
💧
61%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Oxford-University Stadium at Swayze Field
Oxford, Mississippi
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4211.644
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1051.170
14-Day Win Rate0.7500.500
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UGA6.1 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
MISS6.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.13 / 6.61
Georgia Bulldogs — Recent Form
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
5-5|8.1 R/G|8.6 RA/G
Ole Miss Rebels — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
8-2|9.2 R/G|5.2 RA/G