Kentucky WildcatsKentucky WildcatsAwaySP: Nate Harris · 5.75 ERA
Scheduled

Saturday, April 25

1:00 PM

South Carolina GamecocksSouth Carolina GamecocksHomeSP: Amp Phillips · 3.99 ERA
UK·Away
48%
Win Prob
Home·SC
52%

Model CI: 4460% home

Model v2.1.0

Betting Line

Consensus of 2 bookmakers · Updated 4:04 PM

Moneyline

UK+1150
SC-6666

Run Line

SC-2.5

(-250)

O/U

12

Model: 12.7

Model vs Market

SC

Model52%
Market91%
Edge-39.1 pts

UK

Model48%
Market9%
Edge+39.1 pts

Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market

Top Prediction Drivers

← Favors UKFavors SC
away ba14g7.2%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)6.2%
home bb pct14g+4.3%
away bb pct+3.8%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+1.8%
home elo+1.5%
Wind Speed+1.4%
away elo+1.1%

Game Conditions

🌡
85°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind SW
💧
27%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance

Founders Park

Columbia, South Carolina

Park factor: 1.00(estimated)

Pre-Game Feature Snapshot

FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2971.410
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1011.036
14-Day Win Rate0.5710.286
Rest Days11

Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026

Score Projection

Monte Carlo simulation

UK6.2 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
SC6.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.12 / 6.45

Kentucky Wildcats — Recent Form

L
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
3-7|5.3 R/G|8.1 RA/G

South Carolina Gamecocks — Recent Form

L
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
6-4|4.9 R/G|4.7 RA/G