Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
3:00 PM
UK·Away
44%
Win Prob
Home·SC
56%
Model CI: 48–64% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 4 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
UK-962
SC+495
Run Line
SC+4.5
(-118)
O/U
11.5
Model: 11.5
Model vs Market
SC
Model56%
Market16%
Edge+40.5 pts
UK
Model44%
Market84%
Edge-40.5 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UKFavors SC →
away bb pct+5.1%
home bb pct14g+4.7%
away woba+4.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.3%
away ba14g−2.8%
home k pct−1.6%
Temperature+1.2%
away k pct−1.2%
Game Conditions
🌡
72°F
Temperature
🧭
11 mph
Wind NE
💧
68%
Humidity
🌧
4%
Precip Chance
Founders Park
Columbia, South Carolina
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2991.408
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1001.039
14-Day Win Rate0.5710.143
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UK5.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
SC5.9 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.48 / 5.88
Kentucky Wildcats — Recent Form
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
3-7|5.5 R/G|8.5 RA/G
South Carolina Gamecocks — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
7-3|5.4 R/G|4.5 RA/G