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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
08:00 PM
OUWin ProbabilityUTA
90%
CI: 82–98% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UTAFavors OU →
away bb pct+3.4%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.1%
home woba−2.8%
away elo−2.2%
home k pct−1.8%
away ba14g−1.5%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA+1.1%
Away Offense (runs/game)−0.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
79°F
Temperature
🧭
18 mph
Wind SW
💧
60%
Humidity
🌧
1%
Precip Chance
Kimrey Family Stadium
Norman, Oklahoma
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4830.994
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1411.812
14-Day Win Rate0.8570.500
Rest Days22
Snapshot taken: 3/10/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UTA5.0 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
OU8.8 runs
p10: 5p25: 7med: 9p75: 11p90: 13
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.02 / 8.80
UT Arlington Mavericks — Recent Form
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
5-5|4.8 R/G|7.3 RA/G
Oklahoma Sooners — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
8-2|6.4 R/G|3.7 RA/G