Scheduled
Friday, April 24
7:00 PM
TEX·Away
49%
Win Prob
Home·VAN
51%
Model CI: 43–59% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 4:00 PM
Moneyline
TEX-254
VAN+189
Run Line
VAN+2
(-12)
O/U
10
Model: 11.4
Model vs Market
VAN
Model51%
Market33%
Edge+18.6 pts
TEX
Model49%
Market67%
Edge-18.6 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors TEXFavors VAN →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−8.3%
away ba14g−3.2%
home bb pct14g+2.0%
away woba+1.3%
home woba+1.1%
home bb pct−1.1%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA−0.8%
away bb pct14g+0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
80°F
Temperature
🧭
12 mph
Wind SW
💧
42%
Humidity
🌧
1%
Precip Chance
Hawkins Field
Nashville, Tennessee
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4031.484
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.9660.918
14-Day Win Rate0.5710.500
Rest Days35
Snapshot taken: 4/24/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
TEX5.6 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
VAN5.9 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.57 / 5.85
Texas Longhorns — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
6-4|6.6 R/G|4.9 RA/G
Vanderbilt Commodores — Recent Form
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
6-4|7.8 R/G|5.6 RA/G