Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
8:00 PM
TEX·Away
52%
Win Prob
Home·VAN
48%
Model CI: 40–56% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 8 bookmakers · Updated 1:04 PM
Moneyline
TEX-242
VAN+180
Run Line
VAN+2
(-33)
O/U
12
Model: 11.4
Model vs Market
VAN
Model48%
Market34%
Edge+14.8 pts
TEX
Model52%
Market66%
Edge-14.8 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors TEXFavors VAN →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−7.2%
away ba14g−6.8%
home bb pct14g+4.8%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+1.9%
Away Offense (runs/game)−1.6%
Away 14-Day Win Rate−0.9%
away k pct+0.8%
away bb pct−0.7%
Game Conditions
🌡
74°F
Temperature
🧭
5 mph
Wind NE
💧
63%
Humidity
🌧
4%
Precip Chance
Hawkins Field
Nashville, Tennessee
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4011.487
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.9700.917
14-Day Win Rate0.5710.667
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
TEX5.6 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
VAN5.8 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.54 / 5.70
Texas Longhorns — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
7-3|7.6 R/G|4.4 RA/G
Vanderbilt Commodores — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
6-4|8.2 R/G|5.5 RA/G