Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
1:00 PM
TEX·Away
51%
Win Prob
Home·VAN
49%
Model CI: 41–57% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
TEX+197
VAN-266
Run Line
VAN+1.5
(-600)
O/U
—
Model vs Market
VAN
Model49%
Market68%
Edge-18.4 pts
TEX
Model51%
Market32%
Edge+18.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors TEXFavors VAN →
home bb pct14g+5.0%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.9%
away ba14g−3.2%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+2.2%
home woba+1.6%
Wind Speed+1.5%
home k pct−1.3%
away bb pct+0.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
78°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind E
💧
38%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Hawkins Field
Nashville, Tennessee
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4001.482
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.9670.918
14-Day Win Rate0.7140.667
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
TEX6.2 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
VAN6.4 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.10 / 6.38
Texas Longhorns — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
6-4|7.1 R/G|4.7 RA/G
Vanderbilt Commodores — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
6-4|8.5 R/G|5.5 RA/G