Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
1:00 PM
BC·Away
53%
Win Prob
Home·ND
47%
Model CI: 39–55% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 1:03 PM
Moneyline
BC-140
ND+85
Run Line
ND+1.5
(-139)
O/U
12
Model: 13.4
Model vs Market
ND
Model47%
Market45%
Edge+1.6 pts
BC
Model53%
Market55%
Edge-1.6 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors BCFavors ND →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+7.0%
home bb pct14g+6.2%
away ba14g−3.1%
elo diff+2.3%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.2%
home elo+1.4%
away bb pct−1.1%
home k pct−1.0%
Game Conditions
🌡
51°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind E
💧
89%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Frank Eck Baseball Stadium
Notre Dame, Indiana
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3641.289
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0961.286
14-Day Win Rate0.3750.778
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
BC6.2 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
ND7.2 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.12 / 7.21
Boston College Eagles — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
8-2|7.6 R/G|4.3 RA/G
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — Recent Form
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
4-6|4.7 R/G|7.8 RA/G