Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
1:00 PM
CAL·Away
34%
Win Prob
Home·MIA
66%
Model CI: 58–74% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 1:03 PM
Moneyline
CAL+186
MIA-250
Run Line
MIA-2.5
(+66)
O/U
13
Model: 12.6
Model vs Market
MIA
Model66%
Market67%
Edge-1 pts
CAL
Model34%
Market33%
Edge+1 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors CALFavors MIA →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+5.7%
home bb pct14g+4.4%
away ba14g−3.0%
home k pct−1.5%
away k pct−1.3%
away k pct14g−1.3%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.1%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.1%
Game Conditions
🌡
82°F
Temperature
🧭
10 mph
Wind SE
💧
67%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Alex Rodriguez Park at Mark Light Field
Coral Gables, Florida
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4671.317
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0971.200
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.625
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
CAL5.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
MIA6.9 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.60 / 6.80
California Golden Bears — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
7-3|8.1 R/G|4.6 RA/G
Miami Hurricanes — Recent Form
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
6-4|4.1 R/G|4.4 RA/G