Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
7:00 PM
CLEM·Away
46%
Win Prob
Home·LOU
54%
Model CI: 46–62% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 4:04 PM
Moneyline
CLEM-157
LOU+120
Run Line
LOU+1.5
(-131)
O/U
13
Model: 14.1
Model vs Market
LOU
Model54%
Market43%
Edge+11.1 pts
CLEM
Model46%
Market57%
Edge-11.1 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors CLEMFavors LOU →
away ba14g−7.3%
away bb pct+6.5%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−6.3%
home woba+3.7%
home bb pct14g+2.6%
away woba+1.7%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+1.6%
away elo+1.5%
Game Conditions
🌡
68°F
Temperature
🧭
4 mph
Wind N
💧
78%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Jim Patterson Stadium
Louisville, Kentucky
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5981.481
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2151.069
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.375
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
CLEM6.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
LOU7.4 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.69 / 7.35
Clemson Tigers — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
5-5|6.1 R/G|5.7 RA/G
Louisville Cardinals — Recent Form
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
5-5|7.0 R/G|6.4 RA/G