Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
2:00 PM
CLEM·Away
42%
Win Prob
Home·LOU
58%
Model CI: 50–66% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
CLEM+162
LOU-231
Run Line
LOU-1.5
(+122)
O/U
12.5
Model: 14.0
Model vs Market
LOU
Model58%
Market64%
Edge-6.4 pts
CLEM
Model42%
Market36%
Edge+6.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors CLEMFavors LOU →
home bb pct14g+5.6%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.2%
away bb pct+3.0%
away ba14g−2.9%
away woba+2.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.4%
Wind Speed−2.0%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
65°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind NE
💧
72%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Jim Patterson Stadium
Louisville, Kentucky
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.6001.480
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2151.073
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.375
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
CLEM6.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
LOU7.3 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.65 / 7.33
Clemson Tigers — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
4-6|6.1 R/G|6.4 RA/G
Louisville Cardinals — Recent Form
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
6-4|7.9 R/G|6.6 RA/G

