Clemson TigersClemson TigersAwaySP · 1.07 ERA
Scheduled

Sunday, April 26

2:00 PM

Louisville CardinalsLouisville CardinalsHomeSP: Colton Hartman · 5.94 ERA
CLEM·Away
42%
Win Prob
Home·LOU
58%

Model CI: 5066% home

Model v2.1.0

Betting Line

Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM

Moneyline

CLEM+162
LOU-231

Run Line

LOU-1.5

(+122)

O/U

12.5

Model: 14.0

Model vs Market

LOU

Model58%
Market64%
Edge-6.4 pts

CLEM

Model42%
Market36%
Edge+6.4 pts

Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market

Top Prediction Drivers

← Favors CLEMFavors LOU
home bb pct14g+5.6%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.2%
away bb pct+3.0%
away ba14g2.9%
away woba+2.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)2.4%
Wind Speed2.0%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.9%

Game Conditions

🌡
65°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind NE
💧
72%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance

Jim Patterson Stadium

Louisville, Kentucky

Park factor: 1.00(estimated)

Pre-Game Feature Snapshot

FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.6001.480
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2151.073
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.375
Rest Days11

Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026

Score Projection

Monte Carlo simulation

CLEM6.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
LOU7.3 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.65 / 7.33

Clemson Tigers — Recent Form

W
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
4-6|6.1 R/G|6.4 RA/G

Louisville Cardinals — Recent Form

L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
6-4|7.9 R/G|6.6 RA/G