Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
5:00 PM
FSU·Away
57%
Win Prob
Home·STAN
43%
Model CI: 35–51% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 8 bookmakers · Updated 4:04 PM
Moneyline
FSU-304
STAN+220
Run Line
STAN+2.5
(-115)
O/U
12
Model: 12.2
Model vs Market
STAN
Model43%
Market29%
Edge+13.8 pts
FSU
Model57%
Market71%
Edge-13.8 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors FSUFavors STAN →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−9.0%
away ba14g−7.0%
home bb pct14g+4.1%
home woba+2.1%
away k pct+1.5%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.3%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+1.2%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+1.1%
Game Conditions
🌡
59°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind W
💧
63%
Humidity
🌧
6%
Precip Chance
Klein Field at Sunken Diamond
Stanford, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3901.430
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2491.058
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.714
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
FSU6.2 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
STAN6.0 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.11 / 5.97
Florida State Seminoles — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
5-5|5.4 R/G|5.1 RA/G
Stanford Cardinal — Recent Form
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
5-5|5.4 R/G|5.3 RA/G