Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
4:00 PM
FSU·Away
55%
Win Prob
Home·STAN
45%
Model CI: 37–53% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
FSU-265
STAN+194
Run Line
STAN+2.5
(-46)
O/U
13.5
Model: 12.6
Model vs Market
STAN
Model45%
Market32%
Edge+13.3 pts
FSU
Model55%
Market68%
Edge-13.3 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors FSUFavors STAN →
home bb pct14g+5.1%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.9%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.8%
away ba14g−2.8%
away woba−1.5%
home k pct−1.4%
away bb pct−1.0%
home elo+0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
57°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind NW
💧
65%
Humidity
🌧
1%
Precip Chance
Klein Field at Sunken Diamond
Stanford, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3911.430
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2491.060
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.714
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
FSU6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
STAN6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.25 / 6.19
Florida State Seminoles — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
5-5|5.8 R/G|5.5 RA/G
Stanford Cardinal — Recent Form
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
6-4|5.7 R/G|4.8 RA/G