Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
1:00 PM
NCST·Away
51%
Win Prob
Home·VT
49%
Model CI: 41–57% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 8 bookmakers · Updated 1:03 PM
Moneyline
NCST-202
VT+151
Run Line
VT+1.5
(+61)
O/U
14.5
Model: 14.3
Model vs Market
VT
Model49%
Market37%
Edge+11.8 pts
NCST
Model51%
Market63%
Edge-11.8 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors NCSTFavors VT →
home bb pct14g+5.9%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.0%
away ba14g−3.1%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.3%
away k pct−1.4%
home woba+1.3%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.1%
home k pct−1.1%
Game Conditions
🌡
58°F
Temperature
🧭
9 mph
Wind E
💧
80%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
English Field at Atlantic Union Bank Park
Blacksburg, Virginia
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5711.544
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1761.133
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.429
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
NCST6.8 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
VT7.5 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.72 / 7.46
NC State Wolfpack — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
6-4|7.5 R/G|7.5 RA/G
Virginia Tech Hokies — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
6-4|7.2 R/G|5.8 RA/G