Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
1:00 PM
UVA·Away
48%
Win Prob
Home·PITT
52%
Model CI: 44–60% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 1:03 PM
Moneyline
UVA-121
PITT-86
Run Line
PITT+1.5
(-157)
O/U
15
Model: 14.6
Model vs Market
PITT
Model52%
Market49%
Edge+3.1 pts
UVA
Model48%
Market51%
Edge-3.1 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UVAFavors PITT →
home bb pct14g+6.1%
away woba+4.8%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.8%
away bb pct+4.4%
away ba14g−3.0%
home woba+1.4%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.4%
away k pct−1.1%
Game Conditions
🌡
54°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind NE
💧
80%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Charles L. Cost Field
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4181.729
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3981.049
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.500
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UVA7.8 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 8p75: 10p90: 12
PITT6.8 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 7.76 / 6.78
Virginia Cavaliers — Recent Form
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
5-5|5.5 R/G|5.5 RA/G
Pittsburgh Panthers — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
5-5|7.9 R/G|6.8 RA/G