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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
01:05 AM
STANWin ProbabilityNEV
67%
33%
CI: 59–75% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 08:00 PM
Moneyline
NEV+114
STAN-148
Run Line
STAN-1.5
(+124)
O/U
13
Model: 13.3
Model vs Market
STAN
Model67%
Market56%
Edge+10.9 pts
NEV
Model33%
Market44%
Edge-10.9 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors NEVFavors STAN →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+11.1%
away ba14g−6.7%
home woba−5.7%
home elo+4.5%
away elo+4.2%
home ba14g+3.5%
home bb pct−3.4%
away bb pct+2.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
65°F
Temperature
🧭
3 mph
Wind N
💧
47%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Klein Field at Sunken Diamond
Stanford, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3841.031
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2441.494
14-Day Win Rate0.1430.500
Rest Days49
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
NEV5.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
STAN7.6 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.62 / 7.57
Nevada Wolf Pack — Recent Form
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
3-7|6.0 R/G|7.2 RA/G
Stanford Cardinal — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
3-7|5.7 R/G|8.2 RA/G