Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
3:00 PM
BYU·Away
42%
Win Prob
Home·ARIZ
58%
Model CI: 50–66% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 4 bookmakers · Updated 4:04 PM
Moneyline
BYU-450
ARIZ+280
Run Line
ARIZ+3
(-121)
O/U
11
Model: 13.7
Model vs Market
ARIZ
Model58%
Market25%
Edge+33.3 pts
BYU
Model42%
Market75%
Edge-33.3 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors BYUFavors ARIZ →
away ba14g−7.3%
away bb pct+7.2%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+6.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−4.7%
away elo+4.5%
home bb pct14g+4.0%
home bb pct+1.9%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+1.4%
Game Conditions
🌡
83°F
Temperature
🧭
13 mph
Wind W
💧
12%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Hi Corbett Field
Tucson, Arizona
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3481.308
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1491.362
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.500
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
BYU6.2 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
ARIZ7.5 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.13 / 7.45
BYU Cougars — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
6-4|5.5 R/G|5.5 RA/G
Arizona Wildcats — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
6-4|4.5 R/G|4.1 RA/G