Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
9:30 PM
BAY·Away
37%
Win Prob
Home·ASU
63%
Model CI: 55–71% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 4:04 PM
Moneyline
BAY+180
ASU-244
Run Line
ASU-2
(-48)
O/U
13
Model: 12.8
Model vs Market
ASU
Model63%
Market67%
Edge-3.4 pts
BAY
Model37%
Market34%
Edge+3.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors BAYFavors ASU →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+9.1%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−7.3%
away ba14g−7.1%
away elo+4.7%
home woba+3.1%
home bb pct14g+2.4%
away k pct14g−1.4%
Away Offense (runs/game)+1.4%
Game Conditions
🌡
84°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind W
💧
18%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Phoenix Municipal Stadium
Phoenix, Arizona
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5421.216
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3211.306
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.375
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
BAY5.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
ASU7.1 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.62 / 7.10
Baylor Bears — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
4-6|4.8 R/G|7.0 RA/G
Arizona State Sun Devils — Recent Form
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
5-5|8.5 R/G|7.6 RA/G