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Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors BYUFavors UCRV →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.8%
Away 14-Day Win Rate−4.3%
Away Offense (runs/game)+3.1%
Temperature+3.1%
away elo−1.8%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.4%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+1.4%
home elo+1.4%
Game Conditions
🌡
80°F
Temperature
🧭
5 mph
Wind NE
💧
17%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Riverside Sports Complex
Riverside, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)0.7851.303
Pitching (ERA proxy)2.1411.349
14-Day Win Rate00.500
Rest Days87
Snapshot taken: 2/23/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
BYU8.3 runs
p10: 5p25: 6med: 8p75: 10p90: 12
UCRV4.9 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 8.28 / 4.85
BYU Cougars — Recent Form
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
5-5|4.1 R/G|4.5 RA/G
UC Riverside Highlanders — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
2-8|4.9 R/G|9.0 RA/G