Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
1:00 PM
WVU·Away
53%
Win Prob
Home·CIN
47%
Model CI: 39–55% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
WVU-1026
CIN+472
Run Line
CIN+2.5
(+3)
O/U
8.5
Model: 13.8
Model vs Market
CIN
Model47%
Market16%
Edge+30.5 pts
WVU
Model53%
Market84%
Edge-30.5 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors WVUFavors CIN →
home bb pct14g+6.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.1%
away ba14g−2.9%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.8%
away k pct−1.4%
home woba+1.1%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.1%
home elo+0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
61°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind NE
💧
61%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
UC Baseball Stadium
Cincinnati, Ohio
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4081.467
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3161.051
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.625
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
WVU7.1 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
CIN6.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 7.01 / 6.67
West Virginia Mountaineers — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
6-4|5.9 R/G|6.2 RA/G
Cincinnati Bearcats — Recent Form
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
6-4|7.5 R/G|5.6 RA/G