Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
3:00 PM
KU·Away
57%
Win Prob
Home·KSU
43%
Model CI: 35–51% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 7 bookmakers · Updated 1:04 PM
Moneyline
KU+45
KSU-134
Run Line
KSU-1.5
(+130)
O/U
14.5
Model: 13.4
Model vs Market
KSU
Model43%
Market54%
Edge-10.6 pts
KU
Model57%
Market46%
Edge+10.6 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors KUFavors KSU →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−9.0%
away ba14g−6.9%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.2%
home bb pct14g+3.8%
away k pct+1.6%
Temperature+1.5%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+1.3%
away bb pct−0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
70°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind SE
💧
69%
Humidity
🌧
1%
Precip Chance
Tointon Family Stadium
Manhattan, Kansas
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4131.410
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2551.282
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.875
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
KU6.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
KSU7.0 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.42 / 6.88
Kansas Jayhawks — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
9-1|7.4 R/G|4.7 RA/G
Kansas State Wildcats — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
6-4|8.3 R/G|7.6 RA/G