Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
12:00 PM
KU·Away
56%
Win Prob
Home·KSU
44%
Model CI: 36–52% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 10:01 AM
Moneyline
KU-104
KSU-125
Run Line
—
O/U
—
Model vs Market
KSU
Model44%
Market52%
Edge-8.4 pts
KU
Model56%
Market48%
Edge+8.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors KUFavors KSU →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+6.9%
home bb pct14g+5.2%
away ba14g−3.0%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.7%
away bb pct−1.7%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.3%
Temperature+1.2%
home elo+0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
71°F
Temperature
🧭
12 mph
Wind SE
💧
64%
Humidity
🌧
3%
Precip Chance
Tointon Family Stadium
Manhattan, Kansas
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4141.413
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2581.283
14-Day Win Rate0.3750.857
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
KU6.4 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
KSU6.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.29 / 6.67
Kansas Jayhawks — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
9-1|7.9 R/G|5.2 RA/G
Kansas State Wildcats — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
5-5|8.1 R/G|8.0 RA/G