Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
6:05 PM
HAW·Away
20%
Win Prob
Home·ORST
80%
Model CI: 72–88% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 6 bookmakers · Updated 4:04 PM
Moneyline
HAW+330
ORST-500
Run Line
ORST-3
(-121)
O/U
8.5
Model: 11.9
Model vs Market
ORST
Model80%
Market78%
Edge+1.9 pts
HAW
Model20%
Market22%
Edge-1.9 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors HAWFavors ORST →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−5.8%
away ba14g−5.1%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.3%
Away Offense (runs/game)−1.4%
away elo−1.2%
Home Offense (runs/game)+0.8%
Away 14-Day Win Rate−0.8%
away woba−0.7%
Game Conditions
🌡
62°F
Temperature
🧭
10 mph
Wind NE
💧
31%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Goss Stadium at Coleman Field
Corvallis, Oregon
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5381.008
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.9161.065
14-Day Win Rate0.7140.500
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
HAW4.8 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
ORST7.1 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 4.73 / 7.08
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
5-5|5.4 R/G|5.6 RA/G
Oregon State Beavers — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
7-3|7.6 R/G|3.4 RA/G