Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
4:05 PM
HAW·Away
22%
Win Prob
Home·ORST
78%
Model CI: 70–86% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
HAW+299
ORST-441
Run Line
ORST-3.5
(+8)
O/U
10.5
Model: 11.9
Model vs Market
ORST
Model78%
Market76%
Edge+1.7 pts
HAW
Model22%
Market24%
Edge-1.7 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors HAWFavors ORST →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+5.9%
home bb pct14g+5.5%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.8%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA+2.7%
home bb pct−2.6%
away ba14g−2.5%
Wind Speed+1.5%
Away 14-Day Win Rate−1.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
62°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind W
💧
45%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Goss Stadium at Coleman Field
Corvallis, Oregon
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5380.997
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.9141.072
14-Day Win Rate0.7140.375
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
HAW4.7 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
ORST7.2 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 4.66 / 7.13
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors — Recent Form
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
4-6|4.9 R/G|6.1 RA/G
Oregon State Beavers — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
7-3|6.6 R/G|3.5 RA/G