Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
2:00 PM
NEB·Away
59%
Win Prob
Home·ILL
41%
Model CI: 33–49% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
NEB-655
ILL+367
Run Line
ILL+2
(-42)
O/U
4.5
Model: 13.5
Model vs Market
ILL
Model41%
Market20%
Edge+20.7 pts
NEB
Model59%
Market80%
Edge-20.7 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors NEBFavors ILL →
home bb pct14g+5.8%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.2%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.9%
away ba14g−2.9%
elo diff+2.5%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.7%
away bb pct−1.6%
home elo+1.6%
Game Conditions
🌡
70°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind E
💧
56%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Illinois Field
Champaign, Illinois
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4671.355
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2741.073
14-Day Win Rate0.3750.625
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
NEB6.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
ILL6.8 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.67 / 6.83
Nebraska Cornhuskers — Recent Form
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
6-4|8.5 R/G|6.3 RA/G
Illinois Fighting Illini — Recent Form
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
5-5|8.8 R/G|8.6 RA/G