Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
1:00 PM
IOWA·Away
53%
Win Prob
Home·IU
47%
Model CI: 39–55% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 7 bookmakers · Updated 1:03 PM
Moneyline
IOWA-119
IU-111
Run Line
IU+1.5
(-161)
O/U
15
Model: 14.3
Model vs Market
IU
Model47%
Market49%
Edge-2.4 pts
IOWA
Model53%
Market51%
Edge+2.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors IOWAFavors IU →
home bb pct14g+6.1%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.8%
away ba14g−3.0%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.9%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.8%
Wind Speed+1.3%
home woba+1.3%
Home 14-Day Win Rate−1.0%
Game Conditions
🌡
67°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind E
💧
59%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Bart Kaufman Field
Bloomington, Indiana
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5141.545
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3201.006
14-Day Win Rate0.5560.778
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
IOWA7.4 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
IU6.9 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 7.34 / 6.83
Iowa Hawkeyes — Recent Form
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
7-3|9.8 R/G|4.8 RA/G
Indiana Hoosiers — Recent Form
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
5-5|8.1 R/G|8.6 RA/G