Scheduled
Friday, April 24
1:00 PM
WASH·Away
31%
Win Prob
Home·MICH
69%
Model CI: 61–77% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 6 bookmakers · Updated 4:00 PM
Moneyline
WASH-1125
MICH+534
Run Line
MICH+2.5
(+73)
O/U
12.5
Model: 12.0
Model vs Market
MICH
Model69%
Market15%
Edge+54.1 pts
WASH
Model31%
Market85%
Edge-54.1 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors WASHFavors MICH →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.6%
away ba14g−3.2%
away elo+2.7%
home ba14g−2.3%
away bb pct+2.0%
home bb pct14g+1.7%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.2%
away bb pct14g+0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
75°F
Temperature
🧭
11 mph
Wind S
💧
52%
Humidity
🌧
17%
Precip Chance
Ray Fisher Stadium
Ann Arbor, Michigan
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3301.247
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2621.117
14-Day Win Rate0.7780.429
Rest Days23
Snapshot taken: 4/24/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
WASH5.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
MICH6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.66 / 6.26
Washington Huskies — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
3-7|5.8 R/G|7.0 RA/G
Michigan Wolverines — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
8-2|6.3 R/G|5.2 RA/G

