Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
2:00 PM
WASH·Away
31%
Win Prob
Home·MICH
69%
Model CI: 61–77% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 1:04 PM
Moneyline
WASH+180
MICH-245
Run Line
MICH-1.5
(-96)
O/U
11.5
Model: 13.3
Model vs Market
MICH
Model69%
Market67%
Edge+2.4 pts
WASH
Model31%
Market33%
Edge-2.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors WASHFavors MICH →
away ba14g−6.6%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+5.6%
away elo+4.6%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.8%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.6%
Temperature+1.3%
Away 14-Day Win Rate−1.2%
home bb pct−0.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
53°F
Temperature
🧭
12 mph
Wind N
💧
87%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Ray Fisher Stadium
Ann Arbor, Michigan
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3311.248
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2631.119
14-Day Win Rate0.7780.333
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
WASH6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
MICH7.0 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.21 / 6.94
Washington Huskies — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
3-7|6.3 R/G|7.4 RA/G
Michigan Wolverines — Recent Form
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
8-2|6.5 R/G|5.5 RA/G