Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
1:00 PM
WASH·Away
31%
Win Prob
Home·MICH
69%
Model CI: 61–77% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 7 bookmakers · Updated 1:03 PM
Moneyline
WASH+173
MICH-231
Run Line
MICH-2.5
(+53)
O/U
13
Model: 13.1
Model vs Market
MICH
Model69%
Market66%
Edge+3.6 pts
WASH
Model31%
Market34%
Edge-3.6 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors WASHFavors MICH →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+6.5%
home bb pct14g+5.0%
away ba14g−2.8%
away elo+2.1%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA+1.6%
elo diff+1.6%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.5%
home bb pct−1.4%
Game Conditions
🌡
56°F
Temperature
🧭
9 mph
Wind E
💧
65%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Ray Fisher Stadium
Ann Arbor, Michigan
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3291.245
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2601.118
14-Day Win Rate0.7780.333
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
WASH6.2 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
MICH6.9 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.13 / 6.86
Washington Huskies — Recent Form
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
3-7|6.4 R/G|6.9 RA/G
Michigan Wolverines — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
8-2|6.5 R/G|5.6 RA/G