Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
2:05 PM
NU·Away
35%
Win Prob
Home·MINN
65%
Model CI: 57–73% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 1 bookmaker · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
NU+1700
MINN-20000
Run Line
MINN-5.5
(-154)
O/U
7.5
Model: 12.4
Model vs Market
MINN
Model65%
Market95%
Edge-29.4 pts
NU
Model35%
Market5%
Edge+29.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors NUFavors MINN →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+8.7%
home bb pct14g+5.0%
away elo+3.1%
away ba14g−2.5%
Away Offense (runs/game)−2.0%
Wind Speed+1.4%
Home 14-Day Win Rate−1.0%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.0%
Game Conditions
🌡
54°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind NE
💧
79%
Humidity
🌧
6%
Precip Chance
Siebert Field
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2321.191
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2841.529
14-Day Win Rate0.5710.333
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
NU5.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
MINN6.9 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.46 / 6.82
Northwestern Wildcats — Recent Form
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
3-7|5.7 R/G|7.0 RA/G
Minnesota Golden Gophers — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
6-4|8.8 R/G|4.5 RA/G

