Charlotte 49ersCharlotte 49ersAwaySP · 1.32 ERA
Scheduled

Saturday, April 25

4:00 PM

Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic OwlsHomeSP: Tyler Murphy · 5.06 ERA
CLT·Away
36%
Win Prob
Home·FAU
64%

Model CI: 5672% home

Model v2.1.0

Top Prediction Drivers

← Favors CLTFavors FAU
away elo+8.5%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+7.2%
away ba14g6.6%
away bb pct+4.7%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)3.0%
home k pct14g+2.7%
away k pct14g1.5%
home bb pct14g+1.3%

Game Conditions

🌡
81°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind E
💧
64%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance

FAU Baseball Stadium

Boca Raton, Florida

Park factor: 1.00(estimated)

Pre-Game Feature Snapshot

FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1561.188
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3931.325
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.125
Rest Days11

Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026

Score Projection

Monte Carlo simulation

CLT6.4 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
FAU7.0 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.31 / 6.93

Charlotte 49ers — Recent Form

L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
1-9|3.6 R/G|6.3 RA/G

Florida Atlantic Owls — Recent Form

L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
5-5|7.1 R/G|6.7 RA/G