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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
08:00 PM
WMMYWin ProbabilityECU
26%
74%
CI: 18–34% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors ECUFavors WMMY →
away ba14g−6.7%
elo diff+3.9%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.8%
home ba14g+2.4%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+2.1%
home k pct−2.1%
away elo+1.7%
away k pct−1.5%
Game Conditions
🌡
80°F
Temperature
🧭
12 mph
Wind S
💧
51%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Plumeri Park
Williamsburg, Virginia
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)0.9911.404
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.5110.933
14-Day Win Rate0.3750.667
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
ECU6.8 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
WMMY4.8 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.77 / 4.77
East Carolina Pirates — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
6-4|6.3 R/G|4.0 RA/G
William & Mary Tribe — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
5-5|6.6 R/G|6.4 RA/G