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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
09:00 PM
NEBWin ProbabilityNDST
87%
CI: 79–95% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 5 bookmakers · Updated 08:00 PM
Moneyline
NDST+298
NEB-444
Run Line
NEB-3.5
(+18)
O/U
11.5
Model: 12.8
Model vs Market
NEB
Model87%
Market76%
Edge+10.8 pts
NDST
Model13%
Market24%
Edge-10.8 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors NDSTFavors NEB →
away ba14g−4.2%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.8%
home bb pct−3.3%
Home Offense (runs/game)+3.0%
away k pct−2.2%
away woba+2.0%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.6%
away bb pct+1.5%
Game Conditions
🌡
37°F
Temperature
🧭
15 mph
Wind N
💧
71%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Hawks Field At Haymarket Park
Lincoln, Nebraska
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3170.896
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0831.575
14-Day Win Rate0.7500.167
Rest Days33
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
NDST4.8 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
NEB8.1 runs
p10: 5p25: 6med: 8p75: 10p90: 12
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 4.69 / 8.00
North Dakota State Bison — Recent Form
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
2-8|3.4 R/G|6.6 RA/G
Nebraska Cornhuskers — Recent Form
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
7-3|6.2 R/G|5.7 RA/G