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Scheduled
Thursday, March 12
11:05 PM
WICHWin ProbabilityBUT
73%
27%
CI: 65–81% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 6 bookmakers · Updated 02:03 PM
Moneyline
BUT+470
WICH-809
Run Line
—
O/U
—
Model vs Market
WICH
Model73%
Market84%
Edge-10.4 pts
BUT
Model27%
Market16%
Edge+10.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors BUTFavors WICH →
away ba14g−15.3%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−4.4%
elo diff+3.7%
home elo+2.6%
home ba14g+2.6%
away k pct−2.2%
home bb pct−1.4%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+1.2%
Game Conditions
🌡
48°F
Temperature
🧭
13 mph
Wind SW
💧
59%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Eck Stadium Home of Tyler Field
Wichita, Kansas
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2721.051
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3331.992
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.250
Rest Days22
Snapshot taken: 3/12/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
BUT5.8 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
WICH8.7 runs
p10: 5p25: 7med: 9p75: 11p90: 12
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.70 / 8.65
Butler Bulldogs — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
2-8|6.5 R/G|7.6 RA/G
Wichita State Shockers — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
6-4|9.7 R/G|6.0 RA/G