BUT·Away
20%
Win Prob
Home·CREI
80%
Model CI: 72–88% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors BUTFavors CREI →
away elo+4.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.9%
away bb pct+2.7%
home k pct−2.5%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+1.9%
away ba14g−1.7%
Away Offense (runs/game)+1.7%
away k pct−1.2%
Game Conditions
🌡
55°F
Temperature
🧭
10 mph
Wind N
💧
50%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Charles Schwab Field
Omaha, Nebraska
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1901.104
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1831.971
14-Day Win Rate0.8750.375
Rest Days23
Snapshot taken: 4/24/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
BUT5.6 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
CREI8.7 runs
p10: 5p25: 7med: 9p75: 11p90: 13
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.57 / 8.63
Butler Bulldogs — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
5-5|6.6 R/G|7.5 RA/G
Creighton Bluejays — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
8-2|11.0 R/G|4.2 RA/G