Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
7:05 PM
PSU·Away
17%
Win Prob
Home·ORE
83%
Model CI: 76–92% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors PSUFavors ORE →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+7.2%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−5.3%
away ba14g−5.2%
away elo+1.8%
away k pct14g−1.7%
Away Offense (runs/game)−1.6%
Home Offense (runs/game)+0.9%
away woba−0.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
62°F
Temperature
🧭
9 mph
Wind N
💧
32%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
PK Park
Eugene, Oregon
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.4761.354
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0101.423
14-Day Win Rate0.7140.250
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
PSU5.6 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
ORE8.1 runs
p10: 5p25: 6med: 8p75: 10p90: 12
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.62 / 8.02
Penn State Nittany Lions — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
4-6|7.3 R/G|7.4 RA/G
Oregon Ducks — Recent Form
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
6-4|8.4 R/G|7.1 RA/G