Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
3:30 PM
PUR·Away
35%
Win Prob
Home·USC
65%
Model CI: 57–73% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
PUR+107
USC-262
Run Line
USC0
(-134)
O/U
15.5
Model: 13.2
Model vs Market
USC
Model65%
Market62%
Edge+2.6 pts
PUR
Model35%
Market38%
Edge-2.6 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors PURFavors USC →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+8.5%
home bb pct14g+3.5%
away ba14g−2.3%
away k pct14g−1.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.4%
away k pct−1.0%
home elo−1.0%
away woba−1.0%
Game Conditions
🌡
66°F
Temperature
🧭
15 mph
Wind W
💧
43%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Dedeaux Field
Los Angeles, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2511.492
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0641.230
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.500
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
PUR6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
USC6.9 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.30 / 6.82
Purdue Boilermakers — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
6-4|6.2 R/G|4.7 RA/G
USC Trojans — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
6-4|6.0 R/G|5.4 RA/G