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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
05:00 PM
RUTGWin ProbabilityFOR
88%
CI: 80–96% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors FORFavors RUTG →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.3%
away ba14g−3.7%
Away Offense (runs/game)−2.7%
away elo−2.5%
away k pct−1.9%
home bb pct−1.9%
home ba14g+1.2%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA+0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
73°F
Temperature
🧭
11 mph
Wind S
💧
56%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Bainton Field
Piscataway, New Jersey
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5300.530
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0791.913
14-Day Win Rate0.5710.333
Rest Days110
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
FOR3.4 runs
p10: 1p25: 2med: 3p75: 5p90: 6
RUTG8.6 runs
p10: 5p25: 7med: 8p75: 11p90: 12
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 3.38 / 8.61
Fordham Rams — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
2-8|2.8 R/G|8.3 RA/G
Rutgers Scarlet Knights — Recent Form
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
5-5|7.1 R/G|4.6 RA/G