Scheduled
Friday, April 24
9:00 PM
SAC·Away
17%
Win Prob
Home·UCLA
83%
Model CI: 75–91% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors SACFavors UCLA →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−4.3%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.0%
home bb pct−2.6%
home k pct14g+1.7%
away elo+1.6%
away ba14g−1.5%
away bb pct+1.5%
home bb pct14g+0.7%
Game Conditions
🌡
74°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind S
💧
45%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Jackie Robinson Stadium
Los Angeles, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3740.894
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.9891.149
14-Day Win Rate0.8751
Rest Days32
Snapshot taken: 4/24/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
SAC5.0 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
UCLA7.2 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 4.94 / 7.18
Sacramento State Hornets — Recent Form
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
5-5|4.4 R/G|5.3 RA/G
UCLA Bruins — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
9-1|6.4 R/G|3.0 RA/G