Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
5:00 PM
SAC·Away
18%
Win Prob
Home·UCLA
82%
Model CI: 74–90% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors SACFavors UCLA →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−6.8%
away ba14g−4.8%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.0%
away elo+1.9%
Away Offense (runs/game)−1.6%
Away 14-Day Win Rate−1.6%
Humidity+1.3%
away k pct14g−1.0%
Game Conditions
🌡
63°F
Temperature
🧭
9 mph
Wind S
💧
58%
Humidity
🌧
1%
Precip Chance
Jackie Robinson Stadium
Los Angeles, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3730.896
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.9891.150
14-Day Win Rate0.8750.500
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
SAC4.4 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 4p75: 6p90: 7
UCLA6.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 4.33 / 6.59
Sacramento State Hornets — Recent Form
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
5-5|4.7 R/G|5.6 RA/G
UCLA Bruins — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
9-1|6.0 R/G|3.1 RA/G