CONN·Away
62%
Win Prob
Home·GTWN
38%
Model CI: 30–46% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors CONNFavors GTWN →
away ba14g−6.4%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.4%
away elo+3.3%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.1%
Home Offense (runs/game)+2.8%
home woba+2.6%
away bb pct+1.8%
home bb pct14g+1.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
67°F
Temperature
🧭
12 mph
Wind E
💧
57%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Capital One Park
Tysons, Virginia
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2061.454
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.4971.135
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.625
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
CONN6.9 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
GTWN5.9 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.76 / 5.82
UConn Huskies — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
6-4|6.9 R/G|3.3 RA/G
Georgetown Hoyas — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
5-5|7.3 R/G|8.5 RA/G