← Back to Today
Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
07:00 PM
SJUWin ProbabilityMRST
68%
32%
CI: 60–76% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors MRSTFavors SJU →
home elo+8.5%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−8.4%
home woba−5.9%
away ba14g−4.2%
away k pct−2.7%
home ba14g+2.5%
away elo+2.5%
Away Offense (runs/game)−2.5%
Game Conditions
🌡
51°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind S
💧
99%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Jack Kaiser Stadium
Queens, New York
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)0.8981
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.6632.304
14-Day Win Rate0.3750
Rest Days110
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
MRST5.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
SJU7.1 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.54 / 7.07
Marist Red Foxes — Recent Form
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
2-8|4.9 R/G|10.2 RA/G
St. John's Red Storm — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
3-7|2.6 R/G|5.4 RA/G