Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
2:00 PM
SJU·Away
48%
Win Prob
Home·XU
52%
Model CI: 44–60% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors SJUFavors XU →
away ba14g−6.4%
away bb pct+6.3%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+5.0%
away elo+3.2%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.5%
home elo+2.4%
away woba+1.7%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.5%
Game Conditions
🌡
65°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind N
💧
77%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Hayden Field
Cincinnati, Ohio
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1271.114
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.4131.496
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.750
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
SJU6.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
XU7.3 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.49 / 7.30
St. John's Red Storm — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
8-2|7.9 R/G|5.1 RA/G
Xavier Musketeers — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
7-3|6.2 R/G|6.2 RA/G