Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
2:00 PM
TXST·Away
29%
Win Prob
Home·CCU
71%
Model CI: 63–79% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 1:04 PM
Moneyline
TXST+200
CCU-274
Run Line
CCU-2.5
(-18)
O/U
13.5
Model: 13.6
Model vs Market
CCU
Model71%
Market69%
Edge+2.6 pts
TXST
Model29%
Market31%
Edge-2.6 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors TXSTFavors CCU →
away ba14g−6.5%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−5.0%
away elo+4.3%
home bb pct14g+3.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+2.9%
Away Offense (runs/game)−1.4%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA−1.0%
away k pct+0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
85°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind SW
💧
34%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Springs Brooks Stadium
Conway, South Carolina
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5821.383
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0931.170
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.250
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
TXST6.1 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
CCU7.6 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.03 / 7.53
Texas State Bobcats — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
4-6|4.9 R/G|6.1 RA/G
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
6-4|5.8 R/G|5.1 RA/G