Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
12:30 PM
TXST·Away
32%
Win Prob
Home·CCU
68%
Model CI: 60–76% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 8 bookmakers · Updated 10:01 AM
Moneyline
TXST+201
CCU-277
Run Line
—
O/U
—
Model vs Market
CCU
Model68%
Market69%
Edge-1.1 pts
TXST
Model32%
Market31%
Edge+1.1 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors TXSTFavors CCU →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+9.2%
home bb pct14g+4.1%
away ba14g−2.9%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA+1.8%
home k pct−1.4%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.3%
home bb pct−1.3%
Temperature+1.2%
Game Conditions
🌡
73°F
Temperature
🧭
5 mph
Wind N
💧
65%
Humidity
🌧
21%
Precip Chance
Springs Brooks Stadium
Conway, South Carolina
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5771.375
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.0901.165
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.286
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
TXST5.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
CCU6.8 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.44 / 6.77
Texas State Bobcats — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
3-7|4.0 R/G|6.3 RA/G
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
6-4|5.8 R/G|5.1 RA/G